Ally Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

48%
↓ 19200

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
35%
51–60

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
38%
April 30

41%
↓ 39000

What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.8m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
1
Ends in 1 day
$24.8m Vol.🔥$1.0m today$2.7m Liq.1Ends in 1 day
0%
↓ 1,800

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$24k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 5 days
34%
65-89

Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?
$1k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$1k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 4 days
57%
<$138

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?
$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$28 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
↑ $144

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$788k today
3
Ends in 4 days
$12.5m Vol.🔥$788k today$1.3m Liq.3Ends in 4 days
20%
220-239

Down

Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$10.2m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$10.2m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$2.2m Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
71%
220-239
