Artificial Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 535 markets

W
What will Biden say during State of the Union?

Border 3 or more times

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N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

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A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

No

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O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

No

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W
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?

No

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W
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?

No

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W
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?

No

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O
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March?

AI · OpenAI

OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March?

No

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N
NVIDIA largest company before July?

Yes

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W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

artificial intelligence · technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

No

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U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

No

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O
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July?

No

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W
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?

No

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W
What will Trump say during his AI speech on July 23?

China 7+ times

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K
Khamenei public appearance by...?

February 28

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K
Khamenei public appearance by...?

February 20

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M
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Yes

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Z
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?

No

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Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

No

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Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

Yes

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