Bashar Al Assad Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$11.9m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$177k today
146
Ends in 6 months
$11.9m Vol.🔥$177k today$1.9m Liq.146Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$167k Vol.
$6k Liq.
32
Ends in about 10 hours
$167k Vol.$6k Liq.32Ends in about 10 hours
5%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
48%
60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 1 day
88%
60-79

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
40-59

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
94%
<20

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$702k Vol.
$44k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$702k Vol.$44k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
38%
May 31

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 10

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$40k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$40k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026

26%
Yes

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 days
88%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
$419k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$419k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
74%
Congresswoman