Campaign Promises Predictions & Odds· 165 markets

T
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
234
Ended

No

T
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?

Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?

$349k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

Yes

T
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?

Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?

$380k Vol.
$0 Liq.
79
Ended

Yes

W
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
868
Ended

Ross Ulbricht

H
How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?

1,250-1,499

W
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

No

T
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?

Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?

$3.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
419
Ended

No

T
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

$3.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
177
Ended

Yes

T
Trump signs national abortion ban?

Trump signs national abortion ban?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
118
Ended

No

W
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?

Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended

No

T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Yes

T
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Yes

S
Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Will PP win a plurality?

D
Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

Global Elections · elections 2024

Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Luis Abinader

I
Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory

Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

0-5%

I
Iowa Margin of Victory

Iowa Margin of Victory

$45.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
95
Ended

Trump by 10%+

E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

N
Nevada Margin of Victory

Nevada Margin of Victory

$59.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Trump by 3.0-4.0%