Crypto Policy Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

E
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ended

0%

Yes

T
Trove founder arrested by March 31?

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in about 23 hours

0%

Yes

A
Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?

Crypto

Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?

$182k Vol.
$659 Liq.
27
Ended

42%

Yes

T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$103k Vol.
$6k Liq.
23
Ended

5%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition

$53k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended

100%

Yes

W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

40%

Yes

A
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

$99k Vol.
$111 Liq.
34
Ended

68%

Yes

W
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

$608 Vol.
$749 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

59%

Yes

R
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

$65k Vol.
$9k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

$24k Vol.
$15k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

0%

Up