Defamation Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$6k Vol.
$20k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$20k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$121k today$16k Liq.173
16%
Yes
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$115k Vol.
$15k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$115k Vol.$15k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
D
Don Lemon charges dropped?
$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$13k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
13%
Yes
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
T
Games · Sports
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway
$0 Vol.
$24 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$24 Liq.Ends in 12 days
51%
Portugal
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
$282k Vol.
$29k Liq.
43
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$29k Liq.43Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
E
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$37k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$37k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
L
Culture · Politics
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$873 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$873 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
W
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
22
Ended
$10k Vol.$5k Liq.22Ended
22%
Yes
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$21k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
88%
Yes
T
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
$23k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
T
International Cricket · Games
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs France
$112 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$112 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 11 days
51%
Portugal
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$93k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
38%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$28k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$28k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
54%
Delcy / Rodriguez
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$203k Vol.
$21k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$21k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
18%
Yes