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General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 172 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpU.S. PoliticsChinaIndiaSCOTUSSupreme Court GeopoliticsEconomyEuropeTrump PresidencyCampaign PromisesTrump 100 DaysDeepSeekTariffsTrade WarFirst 100 DaysWorldLiberation Day TariffsTrump XiGeneral TariffIEEPA
N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

World·SCOTUS

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Yes

W
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Politics·Trade War

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

Yes

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

Politics·Tariffs

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended

5–15%

T
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Politics·Trump

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
60
Ended

No

1
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Politics·China

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended

No

T
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?

Politics·Trade War

Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by September 30?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by September 30?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
125
Ended

<25%

T
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

T
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?

Politics·Trump

Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

5
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Geopolitics·Trump Presidency

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

W
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?

Economy·Trump

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?

$163k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?

Economy·Tariffs

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?

$231k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

No

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

Politics·Trade War

U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

100-150%

3
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

Politics·Trade War

30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

5
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

Politics·Trump Presidency

50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
75
Ended

No

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

<50%

W
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?

$227k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

5
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?

Politics·Trade War

50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?

$152k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

No

T
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

Politics·DeepSeek

Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

Yes