Hostage Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

Y
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

$399k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

I
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
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No

W
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

All

Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

$462k Vol.
$0 Liq.
134
Ended

Yes

A
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?

All

Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

M
More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

M
More hostages in Gaza freed by Feb 29?

More hostages in Gaza freed by Feb 29?

$30k Vol.
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No

W
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?

Yes

W
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?

Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?

$36k Vol.
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248
Ended

No

W
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

$320k Vol.
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248
Ended

No

W
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?

$50k Vol.
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248
Ended

No

W
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?

$267k Vol.
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248
Ended

No

W
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?

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1,197
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October 15

W
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?

$649k Vol.
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248
Ended

Yes

M
More hostages in Gaza freed before May?

world news · hamas

More hostages in Gaza freed before May?

$6k Vol.
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Ended

No

W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

Go ahead 6+ times

W
What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday?

What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday?

$1.3m Vol.
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915
Ended

Gaza / Israel 12+ times

W
What will Trump say this week (December 15 - 21)?

What will Trump say this week (December 15 - 21)?

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22
Ended

MAGA / Make America Great Again

W
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

$15k Vol.
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9
Ended

The Woman in Cabin 10

W
What will Trump say during Gaza Summit in Egypt?

What will Trump say during Gaza Summit in Egypt?

$277k Vol.
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327
Ended

Smart / High IQ