Operative Predictions & Odds· 313 markets

T
Tucker Carlson confirmed CIA operative by December 31?

Tucker Carlson confirmed CIA operative by December 31?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

E
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

$366k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended

No

W
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by...?

Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by...?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

September 30

C
California redistricting referendum passes?

California redistricting referendum passes?

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

E
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?

No

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

March 18

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$3.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

March 19

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

<5

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$3.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Military action through March 31

U
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?

U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on...?

March 3

I
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by...?

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
86
Ended

March 7

H
How many different countries will Iran strike in March?

How many different countries will Iran strike in March?

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

9+

U
US/Israel military action on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

US/Israel military action on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$625k Vol.
$0 Liq.
132
Ended

March 31

W
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
208
Ended

No