Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 131 markets

W
When will Bitcoin ETF be approved?

When will Bitcoin ETF be approved?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Wednesday

I
Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended

Citizenship Residency Requirement

F
FDA approvals in July

FDA approvals in July

$108k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

TransCon hGH (sBLA)

F
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics’ ONS-5010 for wet AMD?

No

F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended

<$1b / No token in 2024

F
FDA approves UX111?

FDA approves UX111?

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

I
Iceland Legislative Election

Iceland Legislative Election

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

Social Democrats (S)

S
Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

NPP

$
$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

$1-2b

T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

No

G
Ghana Legislative Election

Ghana Legislative Election

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

NDC

R
Romania Parliamentary Election

Romania Parliamentary Election

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
742
Ended

PSD

F
FDA approves Donidalorsen?

FDA approves Donidalorsen?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No

W
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by...?

Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by...?

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

March 30

F
FDA approves FILSPARI REMS modification?

FDA approves FILSPARI REMS modification?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

M
Monad FDV one day after launch?

Monad FDV one day after launch?

$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months

>$2B

C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

No

C
Crypto Boxing

Crypto Boxing

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended