Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 139 markets

Crypto·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2025?

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No

Politics·ftx

Will SBF launch a coin before April?

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No

Crypto·Sam Bankman

Will SBF tweet again by Friday?

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No

All

Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20?

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All

Did SBF launch BALD?

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No

All

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31?

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All

Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?

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All

Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

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All

Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets?

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All

Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

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Politics·Trump

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

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3

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Yes

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

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No

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

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No

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?

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No

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?

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Yes

Culture·SBF

Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?

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No

Crypto·nft

Will Beeple's Everyday feature SBF and Diddy today?

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Yes

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

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Changpeng Zhao

All

Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

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All

Will Caroline testify?

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Yes