Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

Military intervention in Niger by October 31?

All

Military intervention in Niger by October 31?

$331 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention?

All

Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention?

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Military intervention in Niger by September 15?

All

Military intervention in Niger by September 15?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?

Science · Weather & Science

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

80–90

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 10, 2026?

Influenza · flu

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 10, 2026?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

80–90

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 9, 2026?

70–80

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 8, 2026?

70–80

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 7, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 7, 2026?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

70–80

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 6, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 6, 2026?

$318k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

70–80

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 5, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 5, 2026?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

60–70

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

60 - 70

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 3, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 3, 2026?

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

50 - 60

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

$30.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?

Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

No

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...?

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...?

$356k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

March 31

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

Yes

U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?

U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?

$122k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended

No

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Yes