Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 128 markets
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$365k Liq.
🔥$462k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$462k today$365k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$495k Liq.
🔥$261k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$261k today$495k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$190k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$190k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$119k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$141k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$141k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$87k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$87k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
December 31
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$189k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$189k Vol.$24k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$78k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$27k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$533k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$84k Vol.
$24k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$84k Vol.$24k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$31k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes