Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 13 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$81k today
5,424
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$81k today$472k Liq.5,424Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$280k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$280k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$91k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$91k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$358k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$358k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$66k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$66k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$66k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$136k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$136k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$385k Vol.$90k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$50k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$50k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes