Writing Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

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Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

$103k Vol.
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László Krasznahorkai

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Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?

Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?

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Yes

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Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?

$203k Vol.
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W
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"?

All

Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"?

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W
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?

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W
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?

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W
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

All

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

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Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

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Anatomy of a Fall

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Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

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American Fiction

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

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90-104

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

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<55

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

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36
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<60

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Which artists will drop music in May?

Which artists will drop music in May?

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Kendrick Lamar

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

$275k Vol.
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19
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75-84

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Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: How will the game end?

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Spain wins in 90 min

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Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

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Draw/No winner

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Oscars: Best Original Song

Oscars: Best Original Song

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What Was I Made For? (from 'Barbie')

@
@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

$12k Vol.
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1
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Yes

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# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

$573k Vol.
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34
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60-79