46 results for Derivatives

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended

Trump

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Trump

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

$5.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
400
Ended

Kamala

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended

Kamala

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$809k Vol.
$0 Liq.
63
Ended

>50%

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

$767k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

Yes

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

No

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

$576k Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended

Yes

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$563k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended

>20%

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

$513k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended

No

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

>50%

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

25bps cut

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

$226k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

No

Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

$216k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

No

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

No

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

$141k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

>20%