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Anthropic 预测与赔率· 264 个市场

全部PoliticsTechnologyFuture PredictionsScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIGrokMergers And AcquisitionsAnthropicCultureGoogleDowntimeApp StoreAppleTechOutageMentionsSamAltmanMira MuratiMuratiMiraAGIEx RiskX RiskElon Vs. OpenAIDeepSeekXAIBig TechTBPNDodAcquisitionsAlibabaAlpha ArenaClaudeClaude 5Department Of WarDepartment Of Defense
W
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

OpenAI · anthropic

Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

$12k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Politics·AI

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

$2.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
203
已结束

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Tech·OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

$611k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
3 个月后结束

Anthropic

A
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

Tech·Apple

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

$28k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束

No

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Tech·downtime

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

11+

W
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?

Tech·AI

Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
已结束

No

A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

$239k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

OpenAI

A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Tech·Business

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

$1.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
87
已结束

Alibaba

W
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Tech·OpenAI

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

$537k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

O
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

Politics·OpenAI

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

A
Anthropic acquired in 2025?

Tech·Business

Anthropic acquired in 2025?

$49k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

W
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

AI · OpenAI

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

$42k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

C
Claude 5 released on...?

Tech·Claude 5

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

No release by February 28

G
Grok 4.20 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$844k 交易量
$0 流动性
192

April 20

A
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?

Tech·Big Tech

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?

$41k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束

No

C
Claude 4 released in May?

Tech·AI

Claude 4 released in May?

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

Yes

#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Tech·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

ChatGPT

#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Culture·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

$40k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Claude by Anthropic

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

Tech·Big Tech

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Dario / Amodei

#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Tech·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Claude by Anthropic