Ceasefire 预测与赔率· 150 个市场

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$56k 交易量
$13k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$63.6m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$3.1m 今日
1,264

73%

December 31

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$388k 交易量
$47k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

38%

June 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$63k 交易量
$19k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$46k 交易量
$26k 流动性
4

12%

Yes

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k 交易量
$16k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

34%

Leadership Change

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m 交易量
$389k 流动性
🔥$557k 今日
20,364
大约 7 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$468k 流动性
🔥$78k 今日
5,425
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$268k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$3.7m 交易量
$351k 流动性
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m 交易量
$19k 流动性
393
已结束

20%

June 30

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

$126k 交易量
$10k 流动性
26
大约 7 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

$4.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
985
3 个月后结束

27%

June 30

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$55k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

32%

December 31, 2026

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$24k 流动性
78
3 个月后结束

14%

June 30

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$45k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

50%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.2m 交易量
$408k 流动性
🔥$651k 今日
216
1 天后结束

44%

June 30

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

$67k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$185k 交易量
$25k 流动性
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$758k 交易量
$5k 流动性
113
已结束

21%

June 30