Clima 预测与赔率· 151 个市场

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8
大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$3.9m 交易量
$154k 流动性
🔥$62k 今日
170
将近 2 年后结束

63%

Other

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$32k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$26k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量
$199k 流动性
42
将近 2 年后结束

94%

1T+

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$94k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

68%

8+

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量
$76k 流动性
18
将近 2 年后结束

41%

Goldman Sachs

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k 交易量
$19k 流动性
94
大约 4 小时后结束

94%

April 30

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$329k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束

86%

5-6"

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$199k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$391k 交易量
$23k 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束

0%

1600

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$652k 交易量
$90k 流动性
9
将近 2 年后结束

47%

2.0T+

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$176k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束

90%

3-4"

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$171k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量
$30k 流动性
26
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$105k 流动性
20
9 个月后结束

45%

2

Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$34k 流动性
24
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$5k 流动性
5
10 个月后结束

73%

Yes