Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 106 个市场
U
5%
Yes
P
95%
$40 trillion
E
33%
Yes
A
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$414 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
$414 交易量$2k 流动性19 个月后结束
62%
Yes
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束
$9k 交易量$4k 流动性69 个月后结束
30%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
$102k 交易量$7k 流动性23 个月后结束
5%
Yes
N
41%
Yes
F
86%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
18%
Yes
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$647k 交易量
$19k 流动性
🔥$132k 今日
225
$647k 交易量🔥$132k 今日$19k 流动性225
98%
Yes
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$313k 交易量
$21k 流动性
11
7 个月后结束
$313k 交易量$21k 流动性117 个月后结束
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
36%
160-179
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$167k 交易量
$28k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
$167k 交易量$28k 流动性129 个月后结束
86%
4.5%
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k 交易量
$28k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
$133k 交易量$28k 流动性23 个月后结束
11%
Yes
W
19%
Dong Jun