Department Of War 预测与赔率· 107 个市场

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
27 天后结束

16%

Yes

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes

1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

7%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$19k 流动性
79
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$18k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$5.2m 交易量
$238k 流动性
9 个月后结束

7%

December 31

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$574k 交易量
$18k 流动性
已结束

3%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$50k 交易量
$9k 流动性
14
27 天后结束

17%

Yes

W
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$37k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

1%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

$6k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

13%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

$15k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

4%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$32k 交易量
$8k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$9k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$74k 交易量
$36k 流动性
27 天后结束

3%

Yes

U
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

$142k 交易量
$21k 流动性
已结束

9%

April 30

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$78k 交易量
$35k 流动性
2
27 天后结束

19%

April 30

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.0m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
🔥$1.4m 今日
381
已结束

86%

December 31

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k 交易量
$50k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Department Of War 预测与赔率 | PrediRoute