Department Of War 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$47k 交易量
$22k 流动性
3
27 天后结束

14%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$277k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

42%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

7%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$15k 流动性
79
3 个月后结束

8%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$17k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$5.2m 交易量
$237k 流动性
9 个月后结束

8%

December 31

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$575k 交易量
$29k 流动性
已结束

5%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k 交易量
$8k 流动性
14
27 天后结束

18%

Yes

W
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$37k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

1%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

$10k 交易量
$5k 流动性
已结束

16%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

$95 交易量
$12k 流动性
7 天后结束

59%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$32k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$23k 交易量
$13k 流动性
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$11k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

U
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

$142k 交易量
$16k 流动性
已结束

9%

April 30

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$95k 交易量
$42k 流动性
5
27 天后结束

22%

April 30

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.4m 交易量
$964k 流动性
🔥$703k 今日
379
已结束

85%

December 31

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$104k 交易量
$53k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

53%

US x Iran Ceasefire