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Derivatives 预测与赔率· 150 个市场

全部PoliticsIranFinanceTrumpElectionsMiddle EastFedPrimariesCongressCultureUS ElectionFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyDerivativesGov ShutdownJerome PowellEconomic PolicyWorldMidtermsKhameneiAli KhameneiSupreme LeaderTexas SenateMarch 3 Primaries
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Politics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$809k 交易量
$0 流动性
63
已结束

>50%

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

$121k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
已结束

Yes

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

Politics·Trump

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

$141k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

>20%

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

$2.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

>5%

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

$67k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Culture·Derivatives

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

$665k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
已结束

No

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

Elections·Derivatives

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

$41k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

Politics·Middle East

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

$157k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束

No

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Politics·Iran

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$563k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束

>20%

Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?

Politics·Derivatives

Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

World·Derivatives

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

$767k 交易量
$0 流动性
20
已结束

Yes

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

$54k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

$347k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Economy·Fed Rates

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

$134k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

Economy·Derivatives

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束

No change

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

$385k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

>50%

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

$226k 交易量
$0 流动性
31
已结束

No

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

$513k 交易量
$0 流动性
39
已结束

No

Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

$192k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束

No

Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?

Elections·Derivatives

Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?

$18k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No