Election Interference 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k 交易量
$10k 流动性
11
9 个月后结束
$136k 交易量$10k 流动性119 个月后结束
28%
Yes

73%
Nothing

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
$29k 交易量$15k 流动性4大约 1 个月后结束
31%
April 30

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k 交易量
$14k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$17k 交易量$14k 流动性9 个月后结束
10%
Yes

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 交易量
$742 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束
$754 交易量$742 流动性大约 4 小时后结束
1%
Yes

69%
Yes

21%
Yes

87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$2k 交易量$10k 流动性27 个月后结束
92%
Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k 交易量
$54k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束
$206k 交易量$54k 流动性66 个月后结束
40%
Lula da Silva <5%

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 交易量
$6k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$0 交易量$6k 流动性27 个月后结束
82%
Yes

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k 交易量
$22k 流动性
57
已结束
$97k 交易量$22k 流动性57已结束
50%
59-60%

45%
PB 5-10%

36%
40-44%

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
$2k 交易量$10k 流动性53 个月后结束
60%
Yes


