Fed Rates 预测与赔率· 139 个市场

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.0m 交易量
$3.3m 流动性
🔥$2.1m 今日
21
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.7m 交易量
$264k 流动性
🔥$476k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$278k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

35%

0 (0 bps)

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$901k 流动性
🔥$210k 今日
13
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$701k 交易量
$44k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
27
8 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$117k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k 交易量
$100k 流动性
19
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$136k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$18k 流动性
29 天后结束

45%

1

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 6 小时后结束

53%

>5%

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.9m 流动性
🔥$258k 今日
69
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$330k 流动性
🔥$213k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

35%

3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$211k 流动性
🔥$167k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$179k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$166k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

70%

December 31

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$32k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$161k 交易量
$23k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

92%

4.5%

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$245k 交易量
$19k 流动性
11
大约 6 小时后结束

3%

4.5%