Gpt 预测与赔率· 194 个市场

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$29k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15 天后结束

66%

April 17

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$335k 交易量
$107k 流动性
53
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

77%

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

41%

None in 2026

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k 交易量
$21k 流动性
40
已结束

83%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$21k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

44%

60%+

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$845 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
795
4 个月后结束

82%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$375k 流动性
65
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k 交易量
$174k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

32%

Yes

G
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$215k 交易量
$111k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束

91%

$50M

W
Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

$28k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

91%

September 30, 2026

W
What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

$8k 交易量
$13k 流动性
29 天后结束

91%

↓ $290

A
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · Science

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$19k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

26%

1.20–1.24ºC

W
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

$10.1m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

December 11

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

April 15