Grok 预测与赔率· 249 个市场

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k 交易量
$5k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

W
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$16k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

72%

25%+

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$375k 流动性
65
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$59k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$335k 交易量
$107k 流动性
53
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k 交易量
$174k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$19k 交易量
$6k 流动性
13 天后结束

85%

April 15

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k 交易量
$16k 流动性
1
28 天后结束

57%

June 30

G
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$215k 交易量
$111k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束

91%

$50M

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m 交易量
$412k 流动性
9 个月后结束

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

G
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

$20k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

No

W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

sam altman · Grok

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

February 17

G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$220k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No release by February 14

G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$786k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No release by January 31

G
Grok 4.20 released by...?

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$844k 交易量
$0 流动性
192

April 20

W
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

$72k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束

No