Macro Fed 预测与赔率· 122 个市场

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$702k 交易量
$48k 流动性
🔥$52k 今日
27
8 个月后结束

21%

Yes

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$191k 流动性
🔥$121k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

$386k 交易量
$47k 流动性
10 天后结束

56%

$2.25–2.50

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 个月后结束

81%

Up

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

56%

↑3.72%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

9%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 交易量
$149 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Up

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$112k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$135k 流动性
4 个月后结束

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k 交易量
$94k 流动性
20
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.8m 交易量
$270k 流动性
🔥$510k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$224k 今日
69
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$739k 流动性
🔥$175k 今日
13
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k 交易量
$52k 流动性
9 个月后结束

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

53%

>5%

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.1m 交易量
$3.3m 流动性
🔥$2.1m 今日
22
29 天后结束

97%

No change

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

35%

60+

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$135k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$22k 流动性
3 个月后结束

94%

Thom Tillis

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

$145k 交易量
$12k 流动性
2
大约 5 小时后结束

100%

Yes