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Nate Silver 预测与赔率· 353 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoUSA ElectionIranTrumpU.S. PoliticsBitcoinUS ElectionCrypto PricesSwing StatesRFK538GeopoliticsVanceKamalaFivethirtyeightRcpPollingNate SilverHorse RaceSteinMovMargin Of VictoryGreenJillKennedyRobertLibertarianThirdTwoCreatorsTrump PresidencyApprovalRecurringUp Or Down15M5MRewards 10, 4.5, 50ApprovalsIran CeasefireU.S. X Iran
T
Trump approval rating on April 3?

Politics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$154k 交易量
$29k 流动性
1 天后结束

46%

39.0–39.4

H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Trump

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$43k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9 个月后结束

36%

35%

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

9%

Up

H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Trump Presidency

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

↑ 44%

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13
28 天后结束

25%

April 30

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$85k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

$86k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Crypto·Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

$225k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

$57k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

$48 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

T
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

Politics·Nate Silver

Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

$184k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束

Yes

K
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

Politics·Polling

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束

No

K
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

Politics·Nate Silver

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

$209k 交易量
$0 流动性
22
已结束

No

T
Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

Politics·Polling

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

$207k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
已结束

No

T
Trump approval rating on March 28?

Politics·Approval

Trump approval rating on March 28?

$308k 交易量
$0 流动性
528
已结束

47.0-47.4

T
Trump approval rating on March 14?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 14?

$96k 交易量
$0 流动性
528
已结束

47.5-47.9%

T
Trump approval rating on March 21?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 21?

$162k 交易量
$0 流动性
528
已结束

47.5-47.9

W
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Politics·stein

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

$9.9m 交易量
$0 流动性
1,835
已结束

Yes

W
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Politics·USA Election

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

$1.4m 交易量
$0 流动性
521
已结束

Alaska