National Bureau Of Economic Research 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$929k 交易量
$74k 流动性
52
10 个月后结束

37%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$40k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3 天后结束

28%

4.4%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$116k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$136k 流动性
4 个月后结束

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量
$85k 流动性
24
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
February Unemployment Rate - Japan

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$42k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

100%

2.6%

C
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

$30k 交易量
$42k 流动性
9 个月后结束

23%

<-1.0%

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k 交易量
$12k 流动性
11 个月后结束

34%

800–900B

B
Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

$23k 交易量
$27k 流动性
10 天后结束

96%

No Change

B
Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$11k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

62%

No Change

N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

$16k 交易量
$8k 流动性
11
10 个月后结束

15%

Yes

G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

$25k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8
10 个月后结束

61%

>2.5%

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2 个月后结束

56%

10+

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

$3k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束

49%

Decrease

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
已结束

5%

Up

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
11 个月后结束

12%

Yes

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$176k 交易量
$28k 流动性
1
28 天后结束

82%

Decrease

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 交易量
$146 流动性
3 个月后结束

50%

No Change

B
Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

$12k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

82%

No Change

B
Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

$26k 交易量
$47k 流动性
24 天后结束

92%

Decrease