Nonfarm Payroll 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

H
How many jobs added in March?

How many jobs added in March?

$21k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 12 小时后结束

28%

100k+

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$158k 交易量
$36k 流动性
🔥$114k 今日
大约 12 小时后结束

40%

4.4%

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k 交易量
$30k 流动性
21
9 个月后结束

60%

5.0%

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$56 交易量
$817 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

87%

Up

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$41k 交易量
$5k 流动性
11 天后结束

1%

Yes

W
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

$196 交易量
$310 流动性
12 天后结束

66%

Yes

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m 交易量
$69k 流动性
63
10 个月后结束

33%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 个月后结束

92%

Up

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$96k 交易量
$21k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$3k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

A
arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

0%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$29k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13
27 天后结束

18%

April 30

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k 交易量
$108k 流动性
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k 交易量
$57k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

$8k 交易量
$44k 流动性
29 天后结束

82%

↑ 36

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k 交易量
$89k 流动性
35
26 天后结束

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1

40%

7-9

H
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$4k 交易量
$12k 流动性

51%

2

H
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$0 交易量
$389 流动性

73%

4-6