Popular Vote 预测与赔率· 250 个市场

P
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

$14.8m 交易量
$0 流动性
106
已结束

GOP by <1.5%

W
Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

$83.2m 交易量
$0 流动性
780
已结束

Republicans win both

W
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

$257k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Yes

W
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

$225k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束

No

P
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$124.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
408
已结束

GOP by 1-2%

P
Popular Vote Winner 2024

Popular Vote Winner 2024

$628.2m 交易量
$0 流动性
4,552
已结束

Donald Trump

R
RFK Jr. popular vote share?

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

$6.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
50
已结束

<1%

S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
41
已结束

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

T
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

$28.7m 交易量
$0 流动性
-1
已结束

155-160m

U
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

USA Election · recount

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

No

U
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?

$496k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束

No

H
How many votes will Trump get?

How many votes will Trump get?

$12.1m 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束

76-78m

W
Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

$1.7m 交易量
$0 流动性
61
已结束

Jill Stein

H
How many votes will Kamala Harris get?

How many votes will Kamala Harris get?

$256k 交易量
$0 流动性
11
已结束

74-76m

D
Denmark Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Denmark Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Social Democrats 10–15%

W
Which party will win the popular vote in the next Canadian election?

Which party will win the popular vote in the next Canadian election?

$5.8m 交易量
$0 流动性
80
已结束

Liberal Party

W
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?

Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?

$1.4m 交易量
$0 流动性
144
已结束

No

C
Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$5.6m 交易量
$0 流动性
33
已结束

Liberals by 0-3%

A
ANO % of vote in Czech Election?

ANO % of vote in Czech Election?

$123k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

33–36%

S
SPOLU % of vote in Czech Election?

SPOLU % of vote in Czech Election?

$254k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束

23–26%