Reconcilliation 预测与赔率· 100 个市场
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$43k 交易量
$139k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束
$43k 交易量$139k 流动性1大约 2 个月后结束
30%
Paxton 9%+
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k 交易量
$21k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$51k 交易量$21k 流动性9 个月后结束
14%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
$102k 交易量$9k 流动性23 个月后结束
6%
Yes
K
87%
Democratic Party
M
91%
Democratic Party
C
45%
Republican Party
N
93%
Republican Party
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$2k 交易量$10k 流动性27 个月后结束
92%
Yes
"
69%
Not revealed in 2026
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$0 交易量$7k 流动性27 个月后结束
85%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m 交易量
$392k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$3.5m 交易量$392k 流动性9 个月后结束
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
P
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
W
36%
160-179
X
2%
Yes
I
80%
Democratic Party