US Politics 预测与赔率· 1982 个市场

J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.9m 交易量
$41k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

1%

Yes

W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$10k 交易量
$36k 流动性
2
超过 2 年后结束

20%

Yes

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k 交易量
$25k 流动性
11
7 个月后结束

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$483.5m 交易量
$28.9m 流动性
🔥$2.5m 今日
809
超过 2 年后结束

18%

JD Vance

W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$5.2m 交易量
$205k 流动性
9 个月后结束

7%

December 31

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m 交易量
$766k 流动性
64
超过 2 年后结束

60%

Democratic

U
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

$584k 交易量
$29k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

10%

December 31, 2026

T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$11.0m 交易量
$459k 流动性
🔥$1.4m 今日
213
3 个月后结束

78%

June 30

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.3m 交易量
$482k 流动性
146
7 个月后结束

51%

Democrats Sweep

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.4m 交易量
$335k 流动性
6
7 个月后结束

52%

Democratic Party

R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$2.1m 交易量
$197k 流动性
8

27%

≤47

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

3%

Yes

R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k 交易量
$92k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

35%

Below 190

B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

$21k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
8 个月后结束

47%

Yes

B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

$28k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
8 个月后结束

79%

Yes

A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$360k 交易量
$15k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

82%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$97k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

34%

December 31, 2026

2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$2k 交易量
$20k 流动性
7 个月后结束

19%

115-120m

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k 交易量
$32k 流动性
7 个月后结束

46%

Other

D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$964.6m 交易量
$37.5m 流动性
🔥$7.1m 今日
630
超过 2 年后结束

25%

Gavin Newsom