2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

85%

Yes

W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

$177 Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years

23%

Yes

D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$964.6m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$7.1m today
630
Ends in over 2 years

25%

Gavin Newsom

W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

$473 Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years

14%

Yes

W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$508.2m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
332
Ends in over 2 years

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$483.5m Vol.
$28.9m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
809
Ends in over 2 years

18%

JD Vance

W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$381k Vol.
$664k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

51%

Gretchen Whitmer

D
Democratic Nominee 2024

Democratic Nominee 2024

$327.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,486
Ended

Kamala Harris

R
Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

$9.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

Donald Trump

T
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

Yes

[
[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

$7.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended

Kamala Harris

[
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

$7.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Donald Trump

B
Biden drops out before May?

Biden · u.s. 2024 republican presidential nomination

Biden drops out before May?

$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Nikki Haley

T
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

T
Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

T
Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

$4.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

H
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

$6.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes