Nomination Predictions & Odds· 601 markets
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
53%
>5%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$937.7m Vol.
$36.7m Liq.
🔥$6.1m today
622
Ends in over 2 years
$937.7m Vol.🔥$6.1m today$36.7m Liq.622Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$492.5m Vol.
$28.9m Liq.
🔥$5.6m today
324
Ends in over 2 years
$492.5m Vol.🔥$5.6m today$28.9m Liq.324Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$261k Liq.
🔥$360k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$360k today$261k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
44%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$434k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$434k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
55%
May 15
72%
Eric Chung
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$37k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
33%
Jerry Carl
65%
Claire Valdez
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$282k Vol.
$828k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$828k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$121k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$121k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
56%
7
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$299k Vol.
$146k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$299k Vol.$146k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
71%
Jay Feely
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$93k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$93k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$3k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
92%
André Carson
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$126k Vol.
$54k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months
$126k Vol.$54k Liq.27Ends in about 2 months
63%
Thomas Massie
76%
Manny Rutinel
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
70%
Bob Brooks
TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
$51k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$51k Vol.$46k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
72%
Colin Allred