Trump Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 237 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$162k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$162k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Pam Bondi
P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$167k Vol.
$4k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$4k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
75%
December 31
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$73k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$696 Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$696 Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
R
23%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$410k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$410k Vol.$123k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
63%
Kristi Noem
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$326 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$326 Liq.Ends in 27 days
4%
Yes
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$414k Vol.
$189k Liq.
🔥$128k today
Ends in 27 days
$414k Vol.🔥$128k today$189k Liq.Ends in 27 days
1%
Yes
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.6m Vol.
$620k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$620k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by June 30?
$2.0m Vol.
$768k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$2.0m Vol.$768k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 9 months
Kristi Noem
T
March 31, 2026
W
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$3.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 9 months
Stephen Miran
W
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1.0m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
None in 2025
W
Kash Patel