Geopolitics Predictions & OddsΒ· 2054 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$52.3m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
π₯$8.0m today
4,846
$52.3m Vol.π₯$8.0m today$1.5m Liq.4,846
78%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$87.9m Vol.
$5.1m Liq.
π₯$5.9m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$87.9m Vol.π₯$5.9m today$5.1m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$73.8m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
π₯$3.2m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$73.8m Vol.π₯$3.2m today$5.2m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
77%
β $100
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
π₯$2.8m today
1,219
$62.2m Vol.π₯$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,219
74%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
π₯$2.4m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$56.1m Vol.π₯$2.4m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
π₯$798k today
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.4m Vol.π₯$798k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
87%
March 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$342k Liq.
π₯$551k today
201
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.π₯$551k today$342k Liq.201Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$609k Vol.
$164k Liq.
π₯$536k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$609k Vol.π₯$536k today$164k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
40%
United States
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
π₯$470k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.6m Vol.π₯$470k today$185k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
95%
Bahrain
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$59k Liq.
π₯$470k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.5m Vol.π₯$470k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
97%
0-10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
π₯$412k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.π₯$412k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$18k Liq.
π₯$401k today
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.9m Vol.π₯$401k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
97%
March 27
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.2m Vol.
$155k Liq.
π₯$387k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.π₯$387k today$155k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
29%
5
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$351k Liq.
π₯$378k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$10.9m Vol.π₯$378k today$351k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
π₯$377k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.π₯$377k today$1.0m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
π₯$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.π₯$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.0m Vol.
$54k Liq.
π₯$351k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$5.0m Vol.π₯$351k today$54k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
5%
Yes
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$459k Vol.
$219k Liq.
π₯$346k today
Ends in about 1 month
$459k Vol.π₯$346k today$219k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
31%
Saudi Arabia
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.7m Vol.
$306k Liq.
π₯$334k today
154
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.π₯$334k today$306k Liq.154Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.2m Vol.
$608k Liq.
π₯$325k today
291
Ends in 3 months
$12.2m Vol.π₯$325k today$608k Liq.291Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31