Regional Spillover Predictions & Odds· 191 markets
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$447k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$447k today$181k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Bahrain
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$357k Liq.
🔥$384k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$384k today$357k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$459k Vol.
$216k Liq.
🔥$316k today
Ends in about 1 month
$459k Vol.🔥$316k today$216k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
31%
Saudi Arabia
Houthi strike on Israel by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
🔥$127k today
349
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$127k today$36k Liq.349Ends in about 16 hours
47%
April 15
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$88k today
96
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$88k today$49k Liq.96Ends in 3 months
90%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$323k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$63k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$323k Vol.🔥$63k today$94k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
39%
April 30
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$394k Vol.
$13k Liq.
🔥$52k today
51
Ends in about 16 hours
$394k Vol.🔥$52k today$13k Liq.51Ends in about 16 hours
18%
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$17k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$154k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$154k Vol.$147k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?
$131k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$131k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
33%
April 30
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$13k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
≥4
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$325k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$325k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
67%
3
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
$42k Vol.
$20k Liq.
5
Ends in about 16 hours
$42k Vol.$20k Liq.5Ends in about 16 hours
42%
April 30
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?
$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
30%
April 30
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$141k Vol.
$14k Liq.
15
Ends in about 16 hours
$141k Vol.$14k Liq.15Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
$28k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$28k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
$53k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 16 hours
$53k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes