Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$25k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$202k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$202k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$378k Liq.
🔥$120k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$120k today$378k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$901k Liq.
🔥$220k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$220k today$901k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$25k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$155k Vol.
$35k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$35k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$124k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$124k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$56.4m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes