Ukraine Predictions & Odds· 1205 markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 13 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$81k today
5,424
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$81k today$472k Liq.5,424Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$280k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$280k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$42k Liq.
89
Ends in 9 months
$2.0m Vol.$42k Liq.89Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$91k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$91k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$358k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$358k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$66k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30

10%
June 30, 2026

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$66k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$66k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$136k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$136k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
$518k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$518k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?
$20k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$20k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
24%
April 30

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
121
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$34k Liq.121Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026

17%
December 31, 2026

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
