Nato Predictions & Odds· 296 markets

3%
Yes

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.24Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes

7%
Yes

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.1m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$91k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$91k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$152k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$152k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Politics · Geopolitics
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
$39k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$39k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
$1.1m Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes

17%
Yes

25%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

