North Atlantic Treaty Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
8%
Yes
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
4%
Yes
Politics · Geopolitics
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$39k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
17%
Yes
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$13k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$13k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$16k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$138k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$138k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$89k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$89k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$126k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$126k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes