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North Atlantic Treaty Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranInternational RelationsSecurityRussiaUkraineTrumpMiddle EastIsraelU.S. PoliticsNatoWorld AffairsMilitary ActionsGeopoliticsMentionsTrump PresidencyTurkeyParlaysGreenlandForeign PolicyWorldUS IranNuclear Non Proliferation TreatyMbsTrump X Saudi
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
NATO article 5 by November 30?

Politics·security

NATO article 5 by November 30?

$474 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?

$28k Vol.
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Ended
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?

$908 Vol.
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Ended
Will NATO expand in 2022?

All

Will NATO expand in 2022?

$388k Vol.
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Ended
Will NATO expand by...?

All

Will NATO expand by...?

$82k Vol.
$26 Liq.
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June 30

Another NATO article 4 by October 15?

World·Military Actions

Another NATO article 4 by October 15?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

NATO article 5 before March?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

NATO article 5 before March?

$738k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

World·U.S. Politics

Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

$229k Vol.
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5
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No

Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?

Politics·Israel

Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
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No

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

Geopolitics·nato

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

$622k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No

NATO article 5 in 2025?

Politics·world affairs

NATO article 5 in 2025?

$299k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Politics·Gaza

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

$635k Vol.
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28
Ended

Yes

What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

Mentions·world affairs

What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

$139k Vol.
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21
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Defense 20+ times

Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

All

Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

$24k Vol.
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Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?

Geopolitics·Trump Presidency

Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?

$192k Vol.
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3
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No

What will Trump say during meeting with NATO Secretary General today?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during meeting with NATO Secretary General today?

$58k Vol.
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11
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NATO 5+ times

What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

$260k Vol.
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227
Ended

Iran / Israel 15+ times

US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?

Geopolitics·Trump x Saudi

US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?

$185k Vol.
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65
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Yes

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?

$114k Vol.
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No