Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 128 markets

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$627k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$436k today
11
Ends in about 1 month

41%

United States

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$379k today
Ends in about 14 hours

96%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$324k Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days

80%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$56k today
98
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

55%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

7%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

37%

30-34

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

37%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

63%

20+

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$173k today
120
Ends in about 14 hours

31%

April 30

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

11%

Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$328k Vol.
$108k Liq.
🔥$61k today
30
Ends in about 1 month

38%

April 30

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.0m Vol.
$375k Liq.
🔥$557k today
204
Ends in 1 day

44%

June 30

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$107k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

2%

Yes

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

$706k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

39%

April 30

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

51%

April 15

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$386 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

14%

April 5

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

3%

March 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

$64k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours

98%

<5

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$15k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

62%

<2