Tanker Predictions & Odds· 136 markets

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$330k today
Ends in about 13 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$324k Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days

80%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

55%

20-24

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

40%

25-29

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

38%

0-10

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$108k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

3%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

31%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

51%

April 15

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$56k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$603k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

67%

20+

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$631k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$399k today
15
Ends in about 1 month

41%

United States

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months

30%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

73%

April 9

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$61k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

98%

March 28

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours

30%

April 30

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

11%

Yes

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

28%

April 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$15k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

58%

<2

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

92%

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