Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 162 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$56k today
98
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$91k Liq.98Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$603k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
7%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.1m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$74.1m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$5.3m Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
84%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.3m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$186k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.3m Vol.🔥$186k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
96%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$107k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
2%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
100%
$48
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$627k Vol.
$123k Liq.
🔥$458k today
10
Ends in about 1 month
$627k Vol.🔥$458k today$123k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$391k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$391k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$232k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$232k today$61k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$110k Liq.
🔥$167k today
121
Ends in about 15 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$167k today$110k Liq.121Ends in about 15 hours
31%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$424k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$424k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$12k Liq.Ended
37%
30-34
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$370k Liq.
🔥$556k today
204
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.🔥$556k today$370k Liq.204Ends in 1 day
45%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$327k Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$62k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$327k Vol.🔥$62k today$92k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$706k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$706k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
39%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
3%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
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