Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$50k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
52%
15-19
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$604k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$117k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$117k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$637k Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$388k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$637k Vol.🔥$388k today$139k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
34%
United States
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$64k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$64k today$115k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$43k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$64k Vol.$43k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
<2
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$207k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$207k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$92k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$92k Vol.$114k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
Ras Tanura
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
March 31
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 5