Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$67k Liq.
🔥$335k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$335k today$67k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$226k today$57k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$424k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ended
$424k Vol.$47k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$603k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
36%
30-34
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$114k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$175k today$114k Liq.121Ends in about 13 hours
30%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$629k Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$399k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$629k Vol.🔥$399k today$122k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$56k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$122k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$25k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
96%
<20
CZ # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$25k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 4 days
72%
<20
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$64k Vol.$40k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
98%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
<2
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$210k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$210k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$89k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$89k Vol.$114k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%
Al Zour Refinery
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$35k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$35k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes