Ships Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$81k Liq.
🔥$64k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$64k today$81k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$38k Liq.Ended
54%
15-19
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$604k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$12k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$44k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
<2
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$64k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
<5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$331k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$61k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$331k Vol.🔥$61k today$90k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in about 11 hours
$50k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$26k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 days
88%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
47%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$114k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$114k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30